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ESC/ESH Guidelines                                                                                13



           This metabolic risk factor clustering has a multiplicative effect on CV
             32
           risk. Consequently, quantification of total CV risk (i.e. the likelihood  Table 6  Risk modifiers increasing cardiovascular risk
                                                                 estimated by the Systemic COronary Risk Evaluation
           of a person developing a CV event over a defined period) is an impor-  (SCORE) system 35
           tant part of the risk stratification process for patients with
           hypertension.
                                                                   Social deprivation, the origin of many causes of CVD
            Many CV risk assessment systems are available and most project
           10 year risk. Since 2003, the European Guidelines on CVD preven-  Obesity (measured by BMI) and central obesity (measured by
           tion have recommended use of the Systematic COronary Risk  waist circumference)
           Evaluation (SCORE) system because it is based on large, representa-
                                                                   Physical inactivity
           tive European cohort data sets (available at: http://www.escardio.org/
           Guidelines-&-Education/Practice-tools/CVD-prevention-toolbox/SC  Psychosocial stress, including vital exhaustion
           ORE-Risk-Charts). The SCORE system estimates the 10 year risk of
                                                                   Family history of premature CVD (occurring at age <55 years in
           a first fatal atherosclerotic event, in relation to age, sex, smoking hab-
                                                                   men and <60 years in women)
           its, total cholesterol level, and SBP. The SCORE system also allows
           calibration for different CV risk levels across numerous European  Autoimmune and other inflammatory disorders
           countries and has been externally validated. 33  A previous limitation
                                                                   Major psychiatric disorders
           of the SCORE system was that it applied only to patients aged 40–65
           years; however, the SCORE system has recently been adapted for  Treatment for infection with human immunodeficiency virus
                                  34
           patients over the age of 65 years. Detailed information on CV risk
           assessment is available. 35                             Atrial fibrillation
            Factors influencing CV risk factors in patients with hypertension  LV hypertrophy
           are shown in Table 4. Hypertensive patients with documented
                                                                   CKD
           CVD, including asymptomatic atheromatous disease on imaging,
           type 1 or type 2 diabetes, very high levels of individual risk factors  Obstructive sleep apnoea syndrome
           (including grade 3 hypertension), or chronic kidney disease (CKD;
           stages 3 - 5), are automatically considered to be at very high (i.e.
                                                                 BMI = body mass index; CKD = chronic kidney disease; CVD = cardiovascular
           >_10% CVD mortality) or high (i.e. 5 - 10% CVD mortality) 10 year  disease; LV = left ventricular.
           CV risk (Table 5). Such patients do not need formal CV risk estima-
           tion to determine their need for treatment of their hypertension
           and other CV risk factors. For all other hypertensive patients, esti-
           mation of 10 year CV risk using the SCORE system is recom-
                                                                 Table 7  Correction factors for the Systemic
           mended. Estimation should be complemented by assessment of  COronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) cardiovascular risk
           hypertension-mediated organ damage (HMOD), which can also  estimates in first-generation immigrants to Europe 35
           increase CV risk to a higher level, even when asymptomatic (see
           Table 4 and sections 3.6 and 4).
                                                                   Region of origin          Multiplication factor
            There is also emerging evidence that an increase in serum uric acid
           to levels lower than those typically associated with gout is independ-  Southern Asia   1.4
           ently associated with increased CV risk in both the general popula-
                                                                   Sub-Saharan Africa              1.3
           tion and in hypertensive patients. Measurement of serum uric acid is
           recommended as part of the screening of hypertensive patients. 36  Caribbean            1.3
            The SCORE system only estimates the risk of fatal CV events.
                                                                   Western Asia                    1.2
           The risk of total CV events (fatal and non-fatal) is approximately
           three times higher than the rate of fatal CV events in men and  Northern Africa         0.9
           four times higher in women. This multiplier is attenuated to less than
                                                                   Eastern Asia                    0.7
           three times in older people in whom a first event is more likely to be
           fatal. 37                                               Southern America                0.7
            There are important general modifiers of CV risk (Table 6) as well
           as specific CV risk modifiers for patients with hypertension. CV risk
           modifiers are particularly important at the CV risk boundaries, and
                                                             .
           especially for patients at moderate-risk in whom a risk modifier might  .
                                                             . 3.6 Importance of hypertension-
                                                             .
           convert moderate-risk to high risk and influence treatment decisions  . .
                                                             .
           with regard to CV risk factor management. Furthermore, CV risk  . mediated organ damage in refining
                                                             .
                                                             .
           estimates by the SCORE system may be modified in first-generation  . cardiovascular risk assessment in
                                                             .
           immigrants to Europe and CV risk scores in such patients may be  . . hypertensive patients
                                                             .
           adjusted by correction factors (Table 7). Further details of the impact  . . .  A unique and important aspect of CV risk estimation in hypertensive
           of CV risk modifiers are available from the ESC 2016 CVD preven-  . . .  patients is the need to consider the impact of HMOD. This was previ-
           tion Guidelines. 35                               . .  ously termed ‘target organ damage’, but HMOD more accurately
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