Page 12 - GUIAS ESC ESH 2018
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12                                                                                     ESC/ESH Guidelines



           Table 5  Ten year cardiovascular risk categories (Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation system)


             Very high risk    People with any of the following:
                               Documented CVD, either clinical or unequivocal on imaging.
                                • Clinical CVD includes acute myocardial infarction, acute coronary syndrome, coronary or other arterial revascula-
                                  rization, stroke, TIA, aortic aneurysm, and PAD
                                • Unequivocal documented CVD on imaging includes significant plaque (i.e. >_50% stenosis) on angiography or
                                  ultrasound; it does not include increase in carotid intima-media thickness
                                • Diabetes mellitus with target organ damage, e.g. proteinuria or a with a major risk factor such as grade 3
                                  hypertension or hypercholesterolaemia
                                                            2
                                • Severe CKD (eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m )
                                • A calculated 10 year SCORE of >_10%
             High risk         People with any of the following:
                                • Marked elevation of a single risk factor, particularly cholesterol >8 mmol/L (>310 mg/dL), e.g. familial hyper-
                                  cholesterolaemia or grade 3 hypertension (BP >_180/110 mmHg)
                                • Most other people with diabetes mellitus (except some young people with type 1 diabetes mellitus and with-
                                  out major risk factors, who may be at moderate-risk)

                               Hypertensive LVH
                                                               2
                               Moderate CKD eGFR 30-59 mL/min/1.73 m )
                               A calculated 10 year SCORE of 5-10%

             Moderate risk     People with:
                                • A calculated 10 year SCORE of 1to <5%
                                • Grade 2 hypertension
                                • Many middle-aged people belong to this category
             Low risk          People with:
                                • A calculated 10 year SCORE of <1%


           BP = blood pressure; CKD = chronic kidney disease; CVD = cardiovascular disease; eGFR = estimated glomerular filtration rate; LVH = left ventricular hypertrophy; TIA =
           transient ischaemic attack; PAD = peripheral artery disease; SCORE = Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation.



                                                            .
          of people with hypertension will increase by 15–20% by 2025, reach-  . . .  hypertension with an increased risk of developing atrial fibrillation
          ing close to 1.5 billion. 19                      . . . .  (AF), 20  and evidence is emerging that links early elevations of BP to
                                                                                                21,22
                                                               increased risk of cognitive decline and dementia.
          3.4 Blood pressure relationship with risk         . . . . .  The continuous relationship between BP and risk of events has
          of cardiovascular and renal events                . . . .  been shown at all ages 23  and in all ethnic groups, 24,25  and extends
          Elevated BP was the leading global contributor to premature death in  . . .  from high BP levels to relatively low values. SBP appears to be a bet-
                                                                                                          23,26,27
          2015, accounting for almost 10 million deaths and over 200 million  . . .  ter predictor of events than DBP after the age of 50 years.
                             3
          disability-adjusted life years. Importantly, despite advances in diagno-  . . .  High DBP is associated with increased CV risk and is more commonly
          sis and treatment over the past 30 years, the disability-adjusted life  . . .  elevated in younger (<50 years) vs. older patients. DBP tends to
          years attributable to hypertension have increased by 40% since  . . .  decline from midlife as a consequence of arterial stiffening; conse-
              3
          1990. SBP >_140 mmHg accounts for most of the mortality and dis-  . . .  quently, SBP assumes even greater importance as a risk factor from
                                                                   26
          ability burden (70%), and the largest number of SBP-related deaths  . . .  midlife.  In middle-aged and older people, increased pulse pressure
          per year are due to ischaemic heart disease (4.9 million), haemor-  . . .  (the difference between SBP and DBP values) has additional adverse
                                                                              28,29
          rhagic stroke (2.0 million), and ischaemic stroke (1.5 million). 3  . . .  prognostic significance.
           Both office BP and out-of-office BP have an independent and con-  . . .
                                                            .
          tinuous relationship with the incidence of several CV events [hae-  . 3.5 Hypertension and total
                                                            .
                                                            .
          morrhagic stroke, ischaemic stroke, myocardial infarction, sudden  . cardiovascular risk assessment
                                                            .
                                                            .
          death, heart failure, and peripheral artery disease (PAD)], as well as  . . .  Hypertension rarely occurs in isolation, and often clusters with other
                           4
          end-stage renal disease. Accumulating evidence is closely linking  .  CV risk factors such as dyslipidaemia and glucose intolerance. 30,31
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